Each day that I run simulations, I will post my analysis of the previous run's predictions. With that said here is yesterday's analysis:
While writing my analysis last night, Boston was still playing the Mariners and were losing to them. This is the biggest upset in the set of predictions. OOTP predicted that Boston would win by a wide margin. This doesn't mean that there is something wrong with the simulator. I covered why this is in last night's analysis. Suffice it to say, the Mariners ended up winning.
As you can see from the predictions, Boston is up against Seattle once more. The simulator is choosing Boston with a strong lead. It's likely to happen this time.
Remember, many distributions in statistics are about probabilities, not exact outcomes. Stock prediction software does not make claims to 100% accuracy. There is no reason to think that a baseball simulator can either.
Also, should Boston continue to lose to weaker teams than themselves, the simulator will reflect that it the future simulations.
Here are the predictions for today's games.
James is a data science writer who has several years' experience in writing and technology. He helps others who are trying to break into the technology field like data science. If this is something you've been trying to do, you've come to the right place. You'll find resources to help you accomplish this.