The predictions for yesterday's games were better than they have been. I'd like to suggest that it's because teams are starting to find themselves, but we'll see if that is what happens over the next few weeks. The simulations should improve as the players and teams find their grooves. The results are nine games predicted correctly and five were incorrect.
Boston won as was predicted, but the Yankees stalled against Detroit. Another big upset from the simulation was Texas beating Houston. The simulator had Houston winning handily.
Starting with tomorrow's predictions, I am going to run two sets of simulations, one with 5,000 games and another with 10,000 games. Honestly, I don't foresee the results being that much different, but then again, that is what experimentation is about. I'll report the predictions for both as well as the result differentials the following day after the games are played.
DISCLAIMER: This article is part of a series that is measuring the effectiveness of a simulator to predict baseball outcomes. It should not be misconstrued as advice for picks in which to earn money such as fantasy sports or gambling arenas. The owner of this website cannot be held responsible for the prediction results and you understand that you proceed at your own risk!
OOTP Predictions for April 4, 2019
MLB.com listed the following two games as postponed:
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Therefore, there are eight teams playing today.
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers (Home)
Predicted Winner: Kansas City Royals
Strength Indicator: 1.09
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets (Home)
Predicted Winner: New York Mets
Strength Indicator: 0.93
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (Home)
Predicted Winner: New York Yankees
Strength Indicator: 1.59
Boston Red Sox vs. Oakland Athletics (Home)
Predicted Winner: Boston Red Sox
Strength Indicator: 1.27
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Indians (Home)
Predicted Winner: Cleveland Indians
Strength Indicator: 1.29
Cinncinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (Home)
Predicted Winner: Pittsburgh Pirates
Strength Indicator: 1.03
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves (Home)
Predicted Winner: Atlanta Braves
Strength Indicator: 0.97
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels (Home)
Predicted Winner: Los Angeles Angels
Strength Indicator: 0.98
Results
Predicted Winner: Kansas City Royals
Actual Winner: Detroit Tigers-
Predicted Incorrectly
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets
Predicted Winner: New York Mets
Actual Winner: Washington Nationals-
Predicted Incorrectly
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
Predicted Winner: New York Yankees
Actual Winner: New York Yankees-
Predicted Correctly
Boston Red Sox vs. Oakland Athletics
Predicted Winner: Boston Red Sox
Actual Winner: Oakland Athletics-
Predicted Incorrectly
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Indians
Predicted Winner: Cleveland Indians
Actual Winner: Cleveland Indians-
Predicted Correctly
Cinncinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Predicted Winner: Pittsburgh Pirates
Actual Winner: Pittsburgh Pirates-
Predicted Correctly
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves
Predicted Winner: Atlanta Braves
Actual Winner: Atlanta Braves-
Predicted Correctly
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels
Predicted Winner: Los Angeles Angels
Actual Winner: Texas Rangers-
Predicted Incorrectly