OOTP Predictions for April 9 2019

The OOTP Predictions for April 9 2019 are published below. The results for the OOTP Predictions for April 8 2019 did not do well. It was a 50/50 split. I believe this may have something to do with the strength indicator being close to even (=1) for many of the games.

Baseball with Green Background

Boston wasn't even playing to skew the results. The simulator has been picking the team to win in many of its previous games and the team doesn't make that happen.

Baltimore was a big surprise win. Also, the simulator seems to be underestimating Seattle. In twelve games, the team has only lost one game. I'm curious as to when the simulator will catch up to that stat. 

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OOTP Predictions for April 9 2019

If you decide to run these simulations yourself, do yourself a favor. Look at the date before you run a bunch of the simulations. I must have forgotten to set the Live option when I created the game for the predictions. It ran the simulations as if it was the start of the season. The predictions were out of whack based on where the teams are at this point in time. About half way through, I recognized that the date was for the middle of March. I started over with the live option, so the predictions are as they should be.

There are 14 games being played today. The predictions have several strength indicators well above one so they should be easy wins for these teams. There are five teams that are close to 1, so I would expect these to be games that either team could win.

It's important to note that this factor of the strength indicator is my interpretation of how the simulator works. To recap, it is based on the runs scored divided by the runs allowed. It's reasonable to expect a better team to have a higher runs scored than the weaker team. This may or may not be the way the simulator works.

Boston is playing today against Toronto. Both teams have the same standings, yet the simulator gives Boston a strong win. We'll see what happens with this.

Baltimore clobbered Oakland last night. Baltimore has slipped a bit in the standings but is still doing better than most had predicted (including the simulator). The simulator is giving the game to Oakland for tonight with a strong strength indicator. This will make for an interesting game.

The Mets are slotted by the simulator to beat the Twins by a strength of almost 2 to 1. As much as I love the Mets (my team), they often start seasons strong and then fizzle out. Perhaps this year things will be different! One can only hope.

I believe the Yankees vs. Astros game could go either way, even though the simulator predicts Houston to win. The Yanks are like the bear that you wake up by mistake from a long winter slumber. When the bear realizes she's awake, it's time to watch out.

I already mentioned about Seattle earlier. The strength indicator is about even which is an adjustment I am assuming based on yesterday's win.

Cleveland Indians vs. Detroit Tigers (Home)

Predicted Winner: Cleveland Indians
Strength Indicator: 1.353

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox (Home)

Predicted Winner: Boston Red Sox
Strength Indicator: 1.4

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox (Home)

Predicted Winner: Tampa Bay Rays
Strength Indicator: 1.316

Miami Marlins vs. Cinncinnati Reds (Home)

Predicted Winner: Cinncinnati Reds
Strength Indicator: 1.304

Oakland Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles (Home)

Predicted Winner: Oakland Athletics
Strength Indicator: 1.239

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies (Home)

Predicted Winner: Philadelphia Phillies
Strength Indicator: 0.965

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets (Home)

Predicted Winner: New York Mets
Strength Indicator: 1.926

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals (Home)

Predicted Winner: Los Angeles Dodgers
Strength Indicator: 1.089

New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros (Home)

Predicted Winner: Houston Astros
Strength Indicator: 1.114

Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals (Home)

Predicted Winner: Kansas City Royals
Strength Indicator: 0.957

Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies (Home)

Predicted Winner: Colorado Rockies
Strength Indicator: 0.965

Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (Home)

Predicted Winner: Arizona Diamondbacks
Strength Indicator: 1.223

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants (Home)

Predicted Winner: San Francisco Giants
Strength Indicator: 0.996

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels (Home)

Predicted Winner: Los Angeles Angels
Strength Indicator: 0.95

Results

Cleveland Indians vs. Detroit Tigers

Predicted Winner: Cleveland Indians
Actual Winner: Cleveland Indians
Predicted Correctly

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox

Predicted Winner: Boston Red Sox
Actual Winner: Toronto Blue Jays
Predicted Incorrectly

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox

Predicted Winner: Tampa Bay Rays
Actual Winner: Tampa Bay Rays
Predicted Correctly

Miami Marlins vs. Cinncinnati Reds

Predicted Winner: Cinncinnati Reds
Actual Winner: Cinncinnati Reds
Predicted Correctly

Oakland Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles

Predicted Winner: Oakland Athletics
Actual Winner: Oakland Athletics
Predicted Correctly

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Predicted Winner: Philadelphia Phillies
Actual Winner: Washington Nationals
Predicted Incorrectly

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets

Predicted Winner: New York Mets
Actual Winner: Minnesota Twins
Predicted Incorrectly

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Predicted Winner: Los Angeles Dodgers
Actual Winner: St. Louis Cardinals
Predicted Incorrectly

New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros

Predicted Winner: Houston Astros
Actual Winner: Houston Astros
Predicted Correctly

Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals

Predicted Winner: Kansas City Royals
Actual Winner: Seattle Mariners
Predicted Incorrectly

Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies

Predicted Winner: Colorado Rockies
Actual Winner: Atlanta Braves
Predicted Incorrectly

Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Predicted Winner: Arizona Diamondbacks
Actual Winner: Arizona Diamondbacks
Predicted Correctly

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants

Predicted Winner: San Francisco Giants
Actual Winner: San Francisco Giants
Predicted Correctly

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels

Predicted Winner: Los Angeles Angels
Actual Winner: Los Angeles Angels
Predicted Correctly

About the Author James

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